Putin thought he could roll through Ukraine in a few days while controlling what his people know about it. A few bodies can be hidden as with his previous excursions. The possibility of additional sanctions could be overcome until they are lifted. The ethnic Russians in the Ukraine would line the streets cheering his troops marching through towns and cities.
None of the above has worked out as in his dream. He is fighting an information war to keep his disastrous invasion from his people. In today’s digital world, keeping the truth from coming out is impossible so his people will slowly learn the truth and not his reality he has fed them.
When bodies of the thousands of dead troops start coming home or go missing, people are going to react by questioning what Russia is doing in a friendly country. Statistics say the ratio of killed to wounded is at least one to three meaning over 25,000 have been wounded.
Sanctions were not as easy as he anticipated and appear to be of a long duration. The hundreds of companies that have pulled out of Russia meaning the average citizen is aware of something going wrong and affecting their lives. Wiping out all the economic gains of the last two decades is going to create social problems.
Thousands have been protesting the war against Ukraine. Over two thousand have been locked up and hundreds injured by police. What will Putin do when the protesters number in the hundreds of thousands or millions? Can he survive a general uprising?