I predict Kamala Harris will get six million more votes than Trump but I don’t know if the Electoral College allows her to win. The prediction is because the Democratic nominee for the last seven of eight Presidential Elections got the most votes. Bush II got three million more than Kerry. Now we all know getting more votes doesn’t mean winning as long as the ancient idea of 538 people deciding who wins.
Here’s who won popular vote and by how many millions: Biden by 4, Hillary Clinton by 3, Obama by 5, Obama by 10, Gore by 8, and Bill Clinton by 8 and by 5.
See, it is a dead bang certainty that Harris will get more votes but she needs to pick up most of the so called battleground states. Those are Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. Poll averages as of August 21 has Trump leading in Arizona by 0.2%, Nevada by 1.2%, Pennsylvania 0.2%, North Carolina 1.2% , and Georgia by 1.8%. Harris leads by 1.8% in Georgia and 2.0% in Michigan. All are well inside the statistical error. The pressure is really on in those states because the winner will probably win with a majority of less than 10,000 in each state.
Currently the reliable states give Harris 208 votes and Trump 219 with toss-ups having 111. The winner needs 270 no matter how many millions more popular votes Harris will get.
A real democracy means the majority of the people decide their leader but not here. We really are no different than many other countries with the majority party picking the country’s leader. We need to make elections fair and honest by getting rid of the Electoral College!
Harris Wins the Popular Vote
22 Thursday Aug 2024
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