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Commentary About the Blue Marble

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Commentary About the Blue Marble

Category Archives: Climate Change

Climate Change Plank

27 Saturday Apr 2019

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change

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As I continue to explore running for President, I am putting forth parts of the “Chance for Sanity Party” platform. This time the plank concerns the most dangerous threat to Americans and all humanity. Although we humans have evolved to live on all parts of the Earth, we are mainly adapted to our regional conditions. The upcoming changes caused by the warming of the planet will cause great social upheaval and this plank explains my plans to reduce and compensate for it.

The most obvious change will be a general warming with the final rise unknown because it will not occur in this century or possibly the next depending on when we are able to start reducing the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Very likely warming will continue for a few decades after the reduction starts.
We are already over a third of the three degree’s target limit by 2100. How much higher it will go depends on us now.

The countries contributing the most gases from burning fossil fuels are United States, China, and India. China and India are slowing their release by building nuclear plants, wind farms and solar arrays. They are reducing consumption with energy efficient lights, appliances, and electric cars. China is the leader in designing and producing wind and solar generating equipment. India is starting to build green generation, too.

My plan is to continue to subsidize wind turbines and solar arrays, and to fund needed new technologies and equipment. Current wasteful technologies will be replaced. We have new safe designs for nuclear plants which may need to be either funded or guaranteed by the federal government. Yucca Flats storage facility will be opened to store used fuel and bomb materials for eternity.

Another source which is not yet in great use is geothermal. Power from massive geothermal projects can be moved to states east of the Mississippi River using more efficient direct current transmission lines.

Continuing to subsidize more efficient technology and utilization of it will cut the power need for existing uses such as lighting and appliances. The cost will be a three percent increase in revenue.

Rapid growth of electric vehicles will greatly reduce carbon emissions if we have other sources for generating green power to replace gasoline and diesel engines.

As the world’s population grows more power will be needed and reducing carbon emissions will be increasingly difficult and require dedicated leadership because of the massive disruptions in economies. The change will have as great an impact as horses to cars and create millions of new jobs while costing millions. We must quit subsidizing fossil fuels and jump into the future where we develop the technology instead of buying it from Europe and China as we do now.

Understanding How We Effect Nature

14 Thursday Mar 2019

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change

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I hope this answers some of Randy Katro’s March 12 letter in the Joliet Herald concerning global warming. As to what happens when oil is pumped out of the ground, the surface does sink. The same thing happens when gas and water are removed. The space between particles is filled with the fluid and-or gas under the pressure of all the rock above the strata. As the pressure is released by the drilling process (ever see an oil gusher on TV?) the space between the particles gets smaller. The thicker the oil-bearing strata and the type of rock, the more surface will sink. Houston is the great example I used in teaching geography labs in college.

Yes, rain does clear the air of pollutants. Nature’s quickest way to cool the earth is a huge volcanic eruption putting sulfuric gas and billions of tons of ash into the air. Both will reflect the light rays keeping them from reaching the surface. The term “little ice ages” coincides with huge eruptions. One affected the Northeast by lakes freezing over in the summer and killing the crops.

Nature can clean CO2 if it isn’t overwhelmed by turning it into a particle which sinks to the bottom. We are overloading the oceans and they are becoming so acidic that shellfish are having trouble with their shells.

As for your comment indicating a little extra heat doesn’t make a difference, you are so wrong. The Earth’s atmosphere allows life to exist on a knife edge composition of gases. Mars once had an atmosphere and Venus’ so out of balance the surface is hundreds of degrees. We know CO2 and methane requires only a microscopic increase or decrease to cause massive changes. We have known this for 150 years. CO2 levels have increased from under 300 ppm to over 400 on half of the increase in the last three decades. That’s our fault!

The news keeps saying we need to keep the world’s average temperature under three degrees by 2100. Those degrees are Celsius which is 5.5 degrees Fahrenheit. A third of the rise has already been reached. What if we can’t stop at three?

Humanity isn’t prepared for the consequences of a runaway climate change. We are having problems dealing with the initial changes caused by one degree. Just in our country, 100 year storms are occurring almost weekly. 120 degree days used to be just in Death Valley, and coastal cities are being flooded with high tides. Storms are becoming more common and more intense. In spite of the recent polar vortex that was probably caused by warmer Arctic water, our winters aren’t killing off insects which allow infestations to move farther North destroying trees and crops.

With population growth to 12 billion by 2100, I am very pessimistic about humanity’s survival.

Predictions Are Shortening

19 Wednesday Dec 2018

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change

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After reading excerpts of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Arctic report, I had to rethink my opinion on the impact of global warming and climate change. The world’s scientific community has been slowly shortening their predictions of the effects of climate change. When the effects of methane (30 times more damaging than CO2) from thawing tundra was added to our imput of CO2, the time line shortened. When the impact of melting Arctic ice cap leaving less ice to reflect sunlight was added, the time line shortened.

This year there were more climate changing gases and less ice reflection than ever before. Another reason for sadness is the Earth had less major volcanic activity putting more gas and ash into the high troposphere reflecting the sun.

I have lowered my expectations to agree with the scientists who predicted major impacts by 2050 and not 2100. The oceans are rising faster than originally predicted because of thermal expansion, melting ice caps and glaciers.

Today’s very sophisticated computer programs predict the radical weather of November and December when the jet streams dropped to the south from a warmer Arctic.

Our eastern coastal cities (Miami, Norfolk, Charleston, and New York among others) are starting to plan – too late – to make zoning changes, or build up levees and install massive pumps. I think their efforts are too little, too late. Many predictions indicate they will experience constant flooding within thirty years, not fifty or more. Miami, Charleston, and Norfolk flood with king tides now.

Beliefs Are Hard Change

02 Thursday Aug 2018

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change

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Long, long ago in lands far away people believed the world was flat. The people were good catholic folks who were told that by their priests. The heathen Vikings were pretty sure it wasn’t. The Islamic scientists knew it wasn’t because of their great knowledge of science, in particular, mathematics and astronomy. Even after Columbus found the New World and Magellan’s ships sailed around it, many people clung to their flat Earth beliefs.

After our space capsule circled the moon and astronauts walked on it, lots of people still say it didn’t happen. Their belief is just as strong as the flat Earthers. Mounds of facts and seeing things with their own eyes can’t convince some people.

The same is occurring with Global Warming. The Earth is not only heating up but at a higher speed than any time in biologic and geologic records. Those records are like phony moon rocks to climate deniers. Even though they can see the effects and feel the warm winters they still can’t fathom the truth. Deniers use misinterpreted facts showing the warming is occurring but they can’t see it. One recent letter cited the minuscule amount of CO2 in the air and the amount of water vapor. Our atmosphere is a fine tuned balance of gases. The minuscule amount of carbon dioxide is the regulator for temperature. A tiny fraction up increases temperature and a tiny fraction down decrease it. It’s the difference between running the air conditioners year around or an ice age like 20,000 years ago. Another point was made of atmospheric water vapor increase as the cause is partially true because it is the result of the CO2 increase warming the oceans, melting the ice caps, and glaciers adding to the rise in temperature and violent swings in the weather. Just as predicted 150 years ago when its influence on climate was discovered.

No Planetary Manual

02 Thursday Aug 2018

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change, Environment, Uncategorized

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The King James Version of the Bible says we are supposed to take care of the Earth. Man wasn’t given a user manual on how to take care of our only home. The problem didn’t exist a few thousand years ago because a few million primitives lived a simple life within their ecosystems. They ate what was available, wore skins of what they killed, and moved when nearby food become scarce.

The problems began small when civilization started. When people started to congregate into villages and cities, wild lands was turned to cropland and pasture. Forests were cut for buildings and agriculture. Technology began to allow for mining of metals and minerals for bu8ilding. As humanity spread out and the population grew so did the destruction of the Earth. As we learned the oceans were full of food we started to harvest an “infinite” source.

Today the Earth’s 7.5 + billion people have destroyed the Earth’s delicate ecosystem by trying to feed, house, and satisfy unnecessary consumerism. Look around. We have dug massive holes for minerals, dumped the acidic wastes on the surface and burned the coal to change the climate. The need to move faster than walking and animals has given rise to oil production, which has magnified Earth’s destruction. (It did save whales from extinction.) The seas have given their all on feeding us. Stories of the amount of fish and shellfish in Chesapeake Bay indicate we have less than one five-hundredth left. Cod in the Newfoundland area was in the billions and now vast areas have few cod left.

Wasteful consumerism, especially for plastics, have made floating plastic islands, some the size of Texas¸ in our oceans.

What will the world be like when 2050 has over nine billion people and 2100 with twelve billion? Will we have figured a peaceful way to limit population, recycle over and over, reduce pollution, and survive the results of climate change we caused?

The Bad Ole Days

11 Friday May 2018

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change, Coal Mining, Environment

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I remember driving I-80 across the southern end of Lake Michigan’s industrial corridor without car air conditioning. We rolled up the windows, closed the vents, and took as few breaths as possible. The 1970s air was so bad we couldn’t believe people lived in the area. Coal plants and steel plants darkened the sky and fouled the air with particles that coated everything.

The EPA Secretary Scott Pruitt used to be Oklahoma’s Attorney General and sued the EPA several times for the fossil fuel companies that put lots of money into his campaign chest and speeches. Now he is running his most hated agency and has the power to cut the regulations for his fossil fuel friends want. Under the guise of creating jobs, Pruitt is, has and will cut regulations on coal fired plants, steel mills, and oil refineries. The cuts will maybe save a few jobs in those industries while polluting the air and water the regulations had cleaned.

Coal fired plants scheduled to close because of the cost of emission controls may now stay open. The Navajo five-unit generation plant will now stay open making the air over the Grand Canyon Park stay hazy.

A few years ago we talked with the Rangers of the Cumberland Gap National History Park about the wooded “mountains” in and around the park. They said the tops would be cut off, dumped into the valleys, damming them up until they break, and flood the downstream homes with mud and acid…all of this for a few feet of coal about 50 feet below the top. Pruitt is turning the clock back on mountain topping, too.

So Far So Good

29 Sunday Oct 2017

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change, Global Warming

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The debate over climate change by people who disbelieve the overwhelming amount of evidence by saying we need more reminds me of an old construction joke.

A worker fell off a high rise and was heard to say as he passed each floor, “So far so good.” It’s the same as continuing to accumulate repetitive evidence on the heat records for each year. Just as the worker went by each floor, with each passing year’s heat records, the deniers say it’s not so bad.

Environmental scientists are worried it may already be too late to avoid many of the disastrous changes predicted years ago. If we acted now, we may have broken bones but no splat!

Conservatives Suspend Priorities

04 Monday Sep 2017

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change, Disaster, Politics, U.S. Economy, Uncategorized

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Wow! Isn’t it interesting how all those Republican conservatives from Texas have changed their minds on government spending? They were far out front in being against funding any spending on Hurricane Sandy’s destruction in the Northeast.

Now they want tens of billions from the Federal Government for Southeast Texas and Louisiana’s damage from Hurricane Harvey. The area was told to expect exactly what happened and where it will happen from NOAA. The same agency they think is spending too much on worthless studies and equipment. In Texas if it benefits somebody else it’s pork and should be cut. Those Texas conservatives and President Trump haven’t even put forth someone to be FEMA director. Texas demands FEMA aid more than Florida, because of floods, tornadoes, hurricanes and, would you believe, drought.

Another 3.3 billion was to be cut from the Community Development Block Grants that would help places like Houston. Want to bet instead of a cut those to-hell-with-the-rest-of-you Texans will want to increase the grants.

Florida conservatives like those in Texas are climate change deniers, but have gotten hundreds of millions for new flood control projects in their coastal cities to compensate for the rising ocean levels.

I do agree with a great deal of the conservative philosophy, but I abhor the two-faced people who say one thing and do the opposite. They know what they tell the people to get elected is wrong but being in power is more important to them.

These people choose to divide our country as a means to deceive us into voting for them. Just like Donald Trump deceives a small number of Americans to get elected and keeps them supporting him by saying what his supporters want to hear.

The Eve Of Distruction?

20 Wednesday Jan 2016

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change, Disaster, Global Warming

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Tags

Climate Change, global warming

I am a 69 year old highly educated science and news junkie. I studied geology, weather and climate, glaciers, natural resources, and populations. My studies were 45 years ago and the projections for population growth, immigration, and the potential for climate change related damage were prophetic. Climate change wasn’t yet an issue but we studied the greenhouse effect that made our planet livable. We projected what happened in past when the atmosphere had less CO2.

Our studies said we should be concerned about deforestation because that is how CO2 is pulled out of the air. Now we know the major factor is the oceans. Today’s conditions are that about half the trees then are gone and the ocean’s acidity levels are the highest in tens of thousands of years.

When people say climate change happened before and this time is no different is dead wrong. This disaster has started in the last few decades. Forty-five years ago we called global warming runaway greenhouse effect. We knew then if it started the result might be human extinction. However we never put together how it would happen.

At the time, Earth had about three billion people, lots of fish in the oceans, fifty percent more trees, and deserts and jungles where they had been for centuries. It was cold in winter and hot in summer. Occasional floods and droughts seldom lasted for more than a season. Today, we are eating fancy name fish we used to use as fertilizer or bait because the former food fish are too scarce. Fertile areas are becoming deserts. Each year world temperatures are hotter than the previous year. Long term droughts in many areas are common. Occasional droughts are now multi-season followed by short wet ones before the next drought.

The then three billion population is now 7.3 billion rising to 9 billion before 2040 and 12 billion by 2100. That’s over 85 million more each year. We are already building on prime farmland reducing land for food production. The U.S. Western drought has caused the farmers in the Imperial Valley to drill wells deeper and deeper. Some are already at the aquifer’s bottom. The Ogallala Aquifer, under the Plains states, is rapidly being emptied. It takes thousands of years to refill them. Aquifers around the world are being drained.

The Blue Marble is being stressed and that stress will become worse. The planet will continue to heat up. The oceans will continue to rise flooding the cities of billions, millions of acres of farmland, and many fresh water lakes. Types of food will have to change. Meat is not an efficient use of land and water. Everything will need to be grain based or chemical. Wars will be fought for what is left.

Just as millions are already fleeing wars in the Mid-East and Libya or famine and economic conditions, billions will need to move to survive. This pressure will mean wars to get or to protect what countries want or have. Social fabric around the world will unravel. Many of the most reliable programs say we have already reached the point of no return. This may truly be the eve of destruction.
coj 1-20-2016

It’s So Simple To Understand

27 Sunday Dec 2015

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change, Global Warming, Uncategorized

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For those who don’t understand what an El Nino is, it’s when Pacific Rim countries are subjected to radical changes in weather. The criteria’s basis is for the surface water in equatorial central Pacific water to be 0.9 degrees Fahrenheit hotter than normal during the winter three months. This winter is projected to be higher.

The normal cycle is for the surface water to cool off after a couple of years because of the upwelling of cooler deep water. The problem with this El Nino is the deeper water isn’t cool; it’s warmer than ever recorded, too. The normal cycle would mean cooler surface water creating a La Nina and moderating the weather for a couple of years. Many computer programs that have been predicting this El Nino are predicting a smaller less moderating La Nina. If they are correct, we may be reaching the feared tipping point sooner than expected.

The reason is the concept I studied in 1969. Carbon dioxide in the upper atmosphere allows the short sun’s rays to reach the surface where they warm the surface. That heat produces long rays that are reradiated back into space. However, CO2 blocks long rays so the radiated heat is kept inside. The more CO2 the less heat escapes. It’s called the Greenhouse Effect. On a cool sunny day we wear jackets to glass covered greenhouses and then have to take them off because of the sun produced heat. CO2 acts like the glass.

It’s simple; the more CO2 we produce the worse it will get. Methane from the thawing tundra is many times worse than CO2 and that’s the feared tipping point of no return.

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