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Commentary About the Blue Marble

Category Archives: Disaster

Look at the Forest

08 Monday Jun 2020

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Disaster

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We are so wrapped up in the trees that we can’t see the forest. It is an old saying that is especially true today. We are heavily involved with what are actually minor problems like the Covid 19 virus, protests, insurrections, and wars, and other issues of a short term. As the preachers from my youth used to say “All things shall pass.” All these things are minor in the history of the world.

What we need to remember is these are all passing and relatively minor events. One critical and long term issue is global warming causing climate change. Scientists have been forecasting a minimum scenario which has already been shown to be far too conservative. Realistically human culture and societies will change forever if we can continue to exist.

One possible climate change savior is something which could wipe us out. A huge plume of ash from a volcano of such size will lay waste to any region or continent on which it erupts. It could cause another ice age of a magnitude greater than the last one.

The most likely a super volcano is called the Yellowstone Caldera or Yellowstone National Park. It is overdue to erupt by a couple of hundred thousand years, No super volcano has erupted since primates started to mutate into human-like creatures. Yellowstone’s floor has been rising and tilting faster than in previous decades. It will erupt someday covering a large portion of the United States and Canada. The gases will rise up into the upper Troposphere and higher shielding the Earth from the sun’s rays, cooling the Earth’s surface for decades.

Other real catastrophes are a major earthquake in California or Missouri, a major tsumami on the Pacific coast, or other events making our current problems tiny in comparison. See, things can be a lot worse!

Conservatives Suspend Priorities

04 Monday Sep 2017

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change, Disaster, Politics, U.S. Economy, Uncategorized

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Wow! Isn’t it interesting how all those Republican conservatives from Texas have changed their minds on government spending? They were far out front in being against funding any spending on Hurricane Sandy’s destruction in the Northeast.

Now they want tens of billions from the Federal Government for Southeast Texas and Louisiana’s damage from Hurricane Harvey. The area was told to expect exactly what happened and where it will happen from NOAA. The same agency they think is spending too much on worthless studies and equipment. In Texas if it benefits somebody else it’s pork and should be cut. Those Texas conservatives and President Trump haven’t even put forth someone to be FEMA director. Texas demands FEMA aid more than Florida, because of floods, tornadoes, hurricanes and, would you believe, drought.

Another 3.3 billion was to be cut from the Community Development Block Grants that would help places like Houston. Want to bet instead of a cut those to-hell-with-the-rest-of-you Texans will want to increase the grants.

Florida conservatives like those in Texas are climate change deniers, but have gotten hundreds of millions for new flood control projects in their coastal cities to compensate for the rising ocean levels.

I do agree with a great deal of the conservative philosophy, but I abhor the two-faced people who say one thing and do the opposite. They know what they tell the people to get elected is wrong but being in power is more important to them.

These people choose to divide our country as a means to deceive us into voting for them. Just like Donald Trump deceives a small number of Americans to get elected and keeps them supporting him by saying what his supporters want to hear.

The Eve Of Distruction?

20 Wednesday Jan 2016

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Climate Change, Disaster, Global Warming

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Climate Change, global warming

I am a 69 year old highly educated science and news junkie. I studied geology, weather and climate, glaciers, natural resources, and populations. My studies were 45 years ago and the projections for population growth, immigration, and the potential for climate change related damage were prophetic. Climate change wasn’t yet an issue but we studied the greenhouse effect that made our planet livable. We projected what happened in past when the atmosphere had less CO2.

Our studies said we should be concerned about deforestation because that is how CO2 is pulled out of the air. Now we know the major factor is the oceans. Today’s conditions are that about half the trees then are gone and the ocean’s acidity levels are the highest in tens of thousands of years.

When people say climate change happened before and this time is no different is dead wrong. This disaster has started in the last few decades. Forty-five years ago we called global warming runaway greenhouse effect. We knew then if it started the result might be human extinction. However we never put together how it would happen.

At the time, Earth had about three billion people, lots of fish in the oceans, fifty percent more trees, and deserts and jungles where they had been for centuries. It was cold in winter and hot in summer. Occasional floods and droughts seldom lasted for more than a season. Today, we are eating fancy name fish we used to use as fertilizer or bait because the former food fish are too scarce. Fertile areas are becoming deserts. Each year world temperatures are hotter than the previous year. Long term droughts in many areas are common. Occasional droughts are now multi-season followed by short wet ones before the next drought.

The then three billion population is now 7.3 billion rising to 9 billion before 2040 and 12 billion by 2100. That’s over 85 million more each year. We are already building on prime farmland reducing land for food production. The U.S. Western drought has caused the farmers in the Imperial Valley to drill wells deeper and deeper. Some are already at the aquifer’s bottom. The Ogallala Aquifer, under the Plains states, is rapidly being emptied. It takes thousands of years to refill them. Aquifers around the world are being drained.

The Blue Marble is being stressed and that stress will become worse. The planet will continue to heat up. The oceans will continue to rise flooding the cities of billions, millions of acres of farmland, and many fresh water lakes. Types of food will have to change. Meat is not an efficient use of land and water. Everything will need to be grain based or chemical. Wars will be fought for what is left.

Just as millions are already fleeing wars in the Mid-East and Libya or famine and economic conditions, billions will need to move to survive. This pressure will mean wars to get or to protect what countries want or have. Social fabric around the world will unravel. Many of the most reliable programs say we have already reached the point of no return. This may truly be the eve of destruction.
coj 1-20-2016

Disaster Unit

28 Friday Jun 2013

Posted by Commentary about the Blue Marble in Disaster, Military

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Over the last few years I have noticed that our country is having a lot of natural disasters which overwhelm the local resources.  The states’ national guard is mobilized to try to help the locals.  Doing this means loss of income for the guardsmen and their families and an unexpected loss of an employee from their workplace.  The time they are at the disaster may be several days to several weeks.

I propose a unit of the army be specially trained to respond to these disasters.  The first units would be on site within a few hours to start looking for those trapped and needing rescue.  The rest of the unit and attached units would be on site within 24 hours.  It would be directed by FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency).  FEMA is tasked by the government to liaison with the locals, state and federal agencies.  This unit will be capable of handling situations from earthquakes, floods, hurricanes and fires to nuclear and biological events.

I see the composition of the unit and its associated units as follows:  One battalion of troops trained in all anticipated situations.  They would be fitted out with protective gear from fire protection through M.O.P. Four.  Associated units would include ten rescue dogs and handlers, ten medium helicopters fitted out to carry troops, medical evacuation, and equipment.  Heavy lift aircraft and helicopters with maintenance crews and freight handlers.  A construction unit with heavy equipment pre-positioned around the country.

Water and food for at least 20,000 people times 5 days would be kept fresh at ten bases around the country for civilian disaster use.  This would allow food for the victims within hours of an event.

A medical unit to be in place within six hours and fully operational within 24 hours because the local hospitals are usually too damaged for use – Los Angeles, New Orleans,  Joplin.

The unit itself would not be armed but a substantial military police detachment would be ready to be on site starting with the first arrivals.  The MPs would be trained in civilian laws.

In case of a catastrophe of enormous size like a major earthquake destroying a major city, the unit would be a core for a divisional upgrade in force.

State and local governments can’t cope with these disasters quickly and pulling people out of their jobs often makes the situation worse.  The federal government is already paying for the troops so costs are minimal.

One thing we all know is that every dawn means we are one day closer to another major disaster and the need for such a force.

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