Disruptive Times

            Ever wonder what the horse and buggy business felt when the first cars hit the street and roads? What did people do who made carriages and harnesses, stabled the horses, and shoveled the aromatic streets? Cars cause a huge disruption in social and commercial cultures.

            We have been in a progressively disruptive period with social media and the destruction of brick and mortar retail sales. Now we are entering a time when electric vehicles will start to dominate the roads. It won’t require most of the people involved in bringing oil out of the ground to the fuel tank. Electric vehicles require about a tenth of the parts putting millions out of work who cast, ground and assemble the engine parts.

            The sales of vehicles are rapidly moving from the local dealership to sales done over the internet and delivered to the buyer or traded vehicle being picked up at sellers home. Several companies will now buy your house and sell it without traditional realtors and banks.

            The loss of facts and truth are crippling to a democracy. The “big lie” cannot live in a democracy that exists in a country where truth and fact exist. However, today the news media is owned by people who either want to maximize the profits by firing experienced reporters or by giving divisive and biased scripts to the “reporters.” Social media has taken control of many people’s minds and created a fantasy world where democracy doesn’t exist.

            Our internal and external enemies are winning due to the disruptive times.

100 Worst List

            At the time when we are being torn apart by strife, disease, lies, misinformation, social media, political obstruction, infighting, racial justice, racism, egotism and of course, gullibility and stupidity, we can’t work together on solving the climate crisis. We are facing the greatest threat to not only the United States but to the entire world and we can’t get our act together.

            Law suits have shown the people running fossil fuel companies have known they are responsible for the warming of the planet. Many of our elected officials in the state and federal governments know this is true but to keep getting money for themselves and their campaigns they have prevented most of the action to reduce the danger. Some of the officials like Senator Manchin either own or are major stockholders of fossil fuel companies.

            I have proposed to some of the ecological organizations we support to come up with a list of the 100 most responsible for causing the damage or preventing its reduction. Such a list will allow their generations to come to know which ancestor was responsible for the conditions they are hoping to survive in. Perhaps if they can realize how what they are doing will affect future generations, they might help to save them.

The West is Dying

            I have been in all the lower forty-eight states. Many of them – many times. I have a road atlas with each road my wife and I have traveled. Many states have lots of orange marker, some have less like Nevada. My 78 semester hours in Geography and almost a million miles of driving allow me to be an expert on America.

            During my lifetime, I have seen how climate has changed our country. My Dad drove my Mom and I to see my brother in Utah when I was six. In other trips we went to see him in Montana, Wyoming, and Colorado. The mountains were green with huge trees. Today those trees south of southern Wyoming are dying from bug infestations. A few decades ago those bugs froze out around the southern Colorado border or a few thousand feet in altitude. Millions of those dead trees now cause forest fires.

            Dad and I caught malaria in New Mexico when streams and low areas had water for mosquitoes to breed. My last trip to New Mexico saw no places where they could breed.             On our way to southern California in 2003 I saw lots of signs for desert land for sale. We were far from the Colorado River so I called the Realtor. He was selling the desert for $15,000 per acre because the government was going to build an irrigation system fifty miles to the land. The water would make it possible to grow alfalfa hay for California dairy cows. My first trip through Yuma was in the mid-seventies. In 2003 it was at least twenty times wider with all trailers and motor homes. During one climate class in college, I had studied how they were quickly sucking their aquifer dry. Now they get Colorado River water or move away.

Wasting Money Again

            Every year the local, state and federal government plus the insurance companies spend hundreds of billions on repairing or replacing infrastructure and buildings. FEMA got tired of paying for a small town on the Illinois side of the Mississippi River and rebuilt it out of the flood plain. They saved Cairo, Illinois which would have to get a lot better to be a bad slum by flooding prime farmland in Missouri.

            Much of Louisiana is a swamp and below the levied surface of the Mississippi River. Katrina showed how far below sea level much of the city is. We spent two billion to try to withstand the next category three storm. Ida was a strong 4 and missed. Still, it was damaging and the electrical supply lines were destroyed. More money was needed to put it back together.

            Why do I have to pay for damage done to property in floodplains, swamps and hurricane prone states? My home insurance went up 10% to offset losses from last year. Many insurance companies have pulled out of those areas and states that get huge claims each year. It will only get a lot worse.

Methane Is Our Enemy

            The climate is changing and changing fast. President Biden said we need to prepare before conditions get worse. The time for trying to keep conditions from getting worse was decades ago. Now we can try to limit how much worse the future can be.

            Methane is more than thirty times worse in causing the planet to warm than carbon dioxide. We call methane natural gas which is what we burn to heat our homes and cook with. When I worked in the oil fields we usually flared the methane if it was enough to keep it burning. If not, it just vented to the atmosphere. Now multiply that by a million or two around the world. Wells that were plugged or just left are leaking millions of tons of methane every year. One item in Biden’s infrastructure package is to stop that leakage. It often is flared on new wells since pipelines aren’t available. When methane is burned it makes carbon dioxide which is a much smaller contributor.

            Yes, cows do emit massive amounts of methane out of both ends but mostly via their mouths. Scientists think they can solve those emissions.

            A huge new source of methane is the melting Tundra. As the Arctic climate grows warmer, more methane will be released causing more to be released. Over the last decade Arctic temperatures are reaching up to 100 degrees.

            We can’t stop the climate change that is already going to happen in the next several decades. If all countries make it their primary goal, life on the Blue Marble might continue.

Prepare for the Worse – It’s Coming

            Without thinking about the turn around in their political stands, Republican Governors have been wondering how to prepare for future climate disasters. How do we do that? Having a house on a river or a lake is a pretty place to live and enjoy life but frequent flooding costs the homeowner, the insurance companies, the state and federal governments, and of course all of us through high premiums and taxes.

            Now take that one home and multiply by a million more plus all the businesses and industries that used to flood every two or three decades or more. Now they are flooding much more often and more violently. We have to expect this is just a transition period to one with greater violence and more often. Hurricane Ida showed us a tropical storm can go from 65 to 140 miles per hour in a little more than a day with gusts over 175. When it got to the Northeast states it caused massive flooding costing billions and over sixty lives.

            New Orleans is mostly below the river and sea level. Who will pay for the levee that is going to be built around Charleston? Who is going to pay for the flood protection for New York City? Many other cities are doing their planning through building codes like Miami has. Its newest major building code is fourteen feet above the current street level. The streets are going to be raised in anticipation of rising seas and storm surges.

            Life on the Blue Marble is rapidly changing and all the governments need to prepare for heat, drought, floods and ecosystem destruction. At least five natural disasters costing over a billion have happened each year since 2002.

Kicking the Can Down the Road

            We must cut carbon dioxide and methane emissions to keep the climate from being over-bearable in the several decades. I just read only a small African country, was keeping its reduction pledge. The U.K. was getting closer than most countries.

            Illinois just passed a bill to keep the nuclear plants running while it is growing its wind and solar. The bill seems to include a 2145 sunset for oil and coal plants. The base load natural gas plants are not affected.

            Now the reality check: The peaking gas plant north of Minooka only runs when demand is high and at a high cost for its electricity. Its emissions are based on a yearly rate even if it only runs sixty days. Its burning of natural gas is highly inefficient. The base load gas plant being built across the river from Minooka claims to be very efficient. Natural gas is methane and it is over thirty times stronger in holding radiant heat from escaping.

            Wind and solar are great when the sun shines, and the wind blows. What about cloudy, windless days or nights. The nukes are a base load and not for peaking. The base load plants aren’t designed to be cyclical and aren’t profitable to run under those conditions. Southern Illinois and the surrounding states don’t have nukes so they still rely on coal and gas plants.

            Some people think huge numbers of batteries will discharge electricity gotten from renewables during the day. Unfortunately, nights are not going to be using less power but maybe more since that is when electric vehicles are going to be charging. Are we heading into an unknown future trying to make it all work or just kicking the can?

Where Has All The Trash Gone?

            I read where over 3.5 billion masks used by hospital personnel were being dumped in the surgical waste bins. Add to that the plastic gloves, aprons, booties, hoods and other items not normally used to treat patients. How about the 400 million syringes used in vaccinations.

            I have seen masks in parking lots and store floors. They lie next to country roads and interstates. Were they dropped, tossed or blown out a window or blown from the garbage trucks? Masks, gloves, and syringes are being found on seashores and river banks.

            Long after this pandemic is in the history books, those items will be around. Some will be in landfills while others will be floating on the waterways or waiting to be snagged by a fishing hook on the bottom. I have already seen pictures of animals ensnared in masks and suffocated by being caught in their throats. Pictures of bird and rodent nests have shown the masks might contaminate those creatures too.             How long before America is just one big mountain of trash?       

Blue Marble Status

            This blog was named after what the Earth looked like to astronauts going to and from the moon. It was an apt description of a blue sphere in the blackness of space. It is symbolic of the fact this is our home and there is no other place for us to reasonably go. We must try to repair the damage we have done and are still doing to it.

            Thousands of sci-fi movies concern humanity destroying the Earth or life on it by some stupid thing we did. Will the movies show us our future or scare us into changing our ways?

            For almost a century and a half we have known the importance of carbon dioxide in regulating the planet’s temperature. We have increased the gas so much the planet’s temperature has risen over half a degree in the past few years. This has caused the glaciers and tundra to melt. The melting tundra is releasing methane which is thirty times more damaging than carbon dioxide Recently the temperature in Canada’s Arctic went over 100 degrees.

            We know that we will have a great deal of trouble in reducing CO2 to cut the temperature rise to about 4 degrees Fahrenheit. We have already lost most glaciers around the world. Greenland and Antarctica glaciers are rapidly moving into the seas to melt. That melt water plus the expansion from warming oceans is causing flooding in coastal cities like Miami and Charleston.

            Global warming projections are coming true for the high heat and drought in the West and greater rainfall in the Southeast and East. Extreme weather will now become normal causing immigration from hot dry areas to cooler wetter areas. More and more violent storms and hurricanes will become the norm. Because the seas are warmer earlier, hurricane season has gotten longer and more violent.

            Views from the space station are of forest fires and large holes in the Earth we have dug. They can even see the massive trash islands in the seas.

            Not only are the seas being used as dump grounds, the rising seas are becoming warmer and more acidic causing coral to die and shellfish have trouble getting calcium to make shells. The sea is absorbing as much CO2 as it can, but it is nearing its maximum capacity. Many fish and plant species are struggling to survive with the greater temperature and acid.

            Aquifers here and around the world are being sucked dry with no surface water to use when they are dry. These aquifers took thousands of years to fill. The Ogallala Aquifer under the plains states was filled with water from the last ice age. When it is gone much agriculture will be gone, ranching and feedlots gone, and people will have to move away. This is already happening in other parts of the world.

            Rising seas are not only flooding cities at high tide, they are destroying the coastal wetlands and deltas fish and wildlife need to breed, grow, and survive. We depend on those wetlands to feed and protect us from storm surges. Saltwater and high water kills the marshes forever and further damaging the world’s ecology.

            Flora and fauna are moving to higher elevations or towards the poles to escape the rising temperatures. Insects are moving in the same directions affecting flora where they had not been able to survive before. Animals associated with the southern states are moving north. One example is armadillos that are moving into Central Illinois.

            Diseases which can only survive in warmer climates are now being contracted by humans, animals and fauna in the Northern Tier of American States.

            We are polluting small streams which flow into larger and larger ones until the Mississippi River dumps the pollution into the Gulf’s dead zone. Efforts to reduce the size are stymied by the greed of special interests.

            Special interests are digging huge holes in the planet that can be see from the space station. Others are spilling oil into wetlands and waterways in countries that don’t hae the ability to stop it and compel cleaning up of the damage.

            Companies and cities are dumping the trash in the oceans creating trash beaches and islands larger than some states and countries. Most of the articles in the islands will float for centuries. The micro particles are ingested through natural processes by organisms and small fish to be eaten by larger ones until eaten by humans. There the particles become part of us or go down the sewer into the rivers again.

            Extinctions are occurring at a rate of more than one each week. Hundreds of other animals we know and see in our zoos may only exist in those places in a few years. How sad when creatures having existed for hundreds of thousands to millions of years go extinct every few days.

            How can people be so consumed with their petty viewpoints, arguments and greed when we should be doing everything we can to save life on the Blue Marble? We need to do so much and have so little time to do it. For once, let us all join together before it is too late.

Where Has The Sanity Gone?

            What are people thinking today? We have a large group of people who are so into themselves they won’t take the Covid 19 shots to keep thousands of others alive. They don’t even care about protecting family and friends. They have staked their position and won’t change it even after political heroes have had their vaccinations.

            We have another group that is caught up in a circular line of reasoning. They buy guns because others are buying guns and, thanks to the propaganda they have read and watched, they are scared not to have several guns. Some have been conned into buying one gun for each vehicle and room.

            We have a few groups who want to overthrow our government because they are susceptible to the corrosive conspiracies generated by delusional and insecure people. Some probably come from Russian intelligence that is supposed to create division within our country.

            We still have millions who can’t get global warming and the effects it is causing in their heads. North Carolina actually has a law making global warming illegal to talk about. Coastal developers lobbied to protect their climate change affected development. Florida is another denier state.

            Why are so many Americans so anti-science, unpatriotic, anti-government, gullible and just plain stupid? Social media has spread those mental aberrations but the lack of using personal intelligence to determine what is truth and what is not exacerbates the situation.