Tariffs Are Inflationary

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        I just bought a microwave to replace a decades old one. It is a little more complicated than the old one but cost less than half the old one cost. It will take a little while to become comfortable with it.

            After Menard’s rebate the cost will be about $98.00.  Let’s give Menards’s a small profit after expenses and say it cost them $85.00. Transportation to the Menards’ warehouse from the West coast harbor is $2.00. The shipping from China to the West Coast is probably $3.00. That leaves the cost to Menards at factory about $80.00. Now I don’t know if these numbers are correct but former President Donald Trump has repeatedly stated he would impose a 20% to 50% tariff on Chinese manufactured products. A 20% tariff would have added $16.00 to my price of $98.00. The cost would now be $114.00.

            Tariffs cause inflation when they are applied and raise the cost of products to all Americans and do nothing to punish China because no microwave is made here. If a product isn’t made here to compete with an imported one then it doesn’t create competition. It just costs more.

            Before income taxes the main source of income for the Federal Government was tariffs. In spite of what politicians say, decreasing or adding the cost to an import is a political decision. Reducing tariffs can reduce inflation or raising tariffs will increase inflation. Trump has talked about inflation – far from being the highest in his lifetime – but on his first day he would raise tariffs on all imports. Economists say that could raise inflation to over twelve percent. Think about the plans Trump spouts before voting for him.

Not Again…

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        Donald Trump has often been compared with Adolph Hitler for the way he is able to mesmerize people into doing his will while maintaining a hands-off stance. The January sixth insurrection was a great example. Another is his effort to overthrow the election through the use of his devoted minions. He could have pardoned them all but that would have cast a shadow on his reputation and his innocence.

            However, Trump has now changed historic char actors by explaining how he would end the Russo-Ukrainian War during and interview saying he would force Ukraine to accept a new Eastern Boundary and give Putin 20% of their country. In return the Ukraine would stay neutral and not join any political or economic associations with the West. Maybe the original comparison is right. His stance on Ukraine was the reason for the last assignation attempt.

            Historians know this was much like the “Peace in Our Time” agreement England’s Chamberlain made with Hitler. Hitler had marched his troops into the Rhineland without any interference. Then he wanted about a third of Austria. The Western Powers, England and France agreed to his demands for Peace. Since they were so compliant he didn’t think they had the backbone to go to war over his conquest of Poland.  He invaded on September 1st and the Allies declared war on the third.

            The West must give complete and unrestricted support of the Ukraine. This must put an end to Putin’s quest for conquest. He has gone for one country after another who stood alone with their little militaries and lost parts or all of their countries. The world couldn’t help Poland to survive.  We must help Ukraine. Putin’s next target is Moldavia where he controls about twenty percent already. 

The Good Ole’ Days

                I’m not a Luddite (look it up) but life was a lot less scary in the 1960s and 1970s when we were only concerned with a nuclear war with the USSR. Politicians curried favor with voters and lied some. They seldom went overboard with name calling making campaigns much more civilized. Not one in a thousand knew about carbon dioxides’ effect on climate.

                Imagine; there were no cell phones, I pads, or computers to spread all the fabrications and lies proliferating the internet today. The social media and internet games occupy most of millions of people’s lives.               

                The National Rifle Association was a low key organization concerned with gun safety for hunters and kids. That was before the radicals took over.

                Drugs were mainly heroin and marijuana which had less than a fifth of the strength of today’s legal weed. Now, fentanyl kills tens of thousands a year.

                We were concerned about epidemics of measles and chicken pox and not COVID and all the diseases being brought in by Jet passengers. Tobacco causing cancer is just getting attention.

                Some areas of the world were having long term crop reverses causing starvation for millions. The United States was sending millions of tons of grain to feed them. Areas of this country were so destitute the Johnson administration created the Great society to help the poor to survive. Today we have people who look at helping people as wrong and should be stopped.

                 Then the world’s population was over three billion and soon it will be three times that. We are over 340 million and using up the normal resources it took billions of years to make when the planet was formed. Then we didn’t see the damage we were doing and now, people don’t seem to care.

Nobody knows where runaway technology will lead, says a Luddite.

Hope Is Not a Strategy

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          Those are the words of Fareed Zakaria who is a very insightful reporter on CNN. He sums up the hope and mistakes the administrations have made since former President Dwight Eisenhower’s CIA meddled in Iranian politics. Each administration since has felt the policy needed to be fine tuned while leading to today’s disastrous situation.

                Most Americans do not know that Iranians are not Arabs which were the racial basis for the CIA’s policy. This was the time of the so called Brush Fire Wars around the World. The CIA’s meddling caused many of them so they thought they could control the Arabian Peninsula by having a strange white military power that could put down and rebellions or wars in the oil-rich Middle East.

                Not everyone in Iran’s new democracy was interested in attaching themselves to either side of the Cold War so we got rid of the elected leadership and installed the hereditary ruler – The Shah of Iran. We trained his army in how to put down any dissent and moved the religious leader, who wanted to do away with the secular culture, to France.

                One President after another kept up the façade that all was well in Iran until former President Carter’s morals pulled his support from the Shah. The religious minority was about to gain the support of the young and overthrow the government. The upper military and government people either fled or were killed. The new Anti-American allowed the Ayatollah Khomeini to return and become the religious and political leader of Iran. He incited an Anti-American fervor and policy which led to the taking of the American Embassy and Carter’s loss to former President Reagan. Carter had stopped supplying weapons to Iran so Reagan’s people worked out the guns for hostage deal. The deal depended on Iran holding the hostages so Carter could not claim the victory and win a second term.

                This feeling of anti-Americanism and religious Shiah Muslim fervor created a regional problem for the United States and the Arab countries it was now friendly with. Whether we encouraged former President Saddam Hussein to invade Iran or it was totally his idea, we supplied some supplies and lots of satellite images of the Iranian positions and movements. It was Reagan’s way of revenge for the Embassy. Saddam lost but Iran lost hundreds of thousands of cannon fodder militia and trained soldiers. This created the need to use Arab insurrectionists to upset the political leaders of the Arabian Peninsula countries and of course, Israel.

                When Iran was just getting into Refining Uranium, the major countries developed a treaty restricting how far Iran could go with the enrichment. It was working although their support of those working to create dissension in other countries continued. Former President Donald Trump pulled out of the agreement, enrichment shot past the agreed percentage. Trump’s verbal treatment of Iran’s leadership increased, Iran’s leadership worked to hurt Americas by reduced affection of its people to Americans. That is why they hate Trump and want to hurt him physically or his chances of re-election.

                Iran is a great example of how the United States has not planned for the long term future. Ever since our leaders decided we should interfere with the little countries around the world we have put in dictators, tyrants, and killers. – All just to get our way for a few years.

Don’t Own a Flintlock

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        The Supreme Court and other Federal and State Judges have cited the historic times as a basis for knocking down laws as to where guns can be carried. During those historic times a gun could be carried everywhere including Churches.

            Historically people carried their guns into the courts where the judges now ban their possession. Does historic mean what is a convenient use to them?

            Shooting on public transportation is not uncommon in urban areas of America. Even with the legal-for now-restrictions on barring the carrying guns in some public and retail businesses, people are still getting shot.

            In the mid-1900s the law enforcement agencies carried six shot revolvers while the bad guys carried automatics. Now the agencies have automatics and the bad guys have extended magazines, assault weapons converted to rapid machine gun fire. A Southern Illinois Judge is sure to override Illinois’ assault gun ban law. Maybe those people should be allowed to take them into the court.

            Thomas Jefferson said the Constitution should be torn up every ten years and rewritten because times change. Times have changed a great deal in two and a half centuries and in ways no signer could have envisioned. Politics has overridden commonsense so tens of thousands of us are killed each year because the courts think we all have flintlock muzzle loaders.

Blind Eyes Can Not Read

        I realize millions of people think Donald Trump walks on water just because he knows where the rocks are hidden. His wandering rants are careful to avoid criticizing the radical groups who are racist and militarist.

            He is proud of his life conning people into investing in some business and then pulling the financial assets out leaving the other investors to declare bankruptcy or he hiring work to be done on a project and does not pay the contractors, driving them into bankruptcy. Don’t forget his college that was worthless and had to repay all the students. Currently his DJT Media is putting millions into his pocket through sales of a worthless stock.

            He sells bibles to believers who forget he has broken the first, third, fourth, seventh, eighth, ninth, and tenth commandments. They keep forgiving him and he keeps breaking them. The eleventh commandment should be he who has enough money to hire lawyers will never go to jail. He has often said there is no one ever greater than him.

            When the people who worked with him when he was President tell you he should never be elected to anything again, people should pay attention. Two hundred of those Republicans, Senators, and State Governors have been screaming his personal faults. Many bi-partisan psychologist groups question his mental capacity.

How can anyone who was in the Capitol after January 6 change their feelings about him? No wonder their popularity rating exceeds only the Supreme Court.  

Narcissism Requires Lies

        More than four and a half years ago I wrote that Trump has said over 7,000 lies during his political career. I can’t even guess how many more since then. Hundreds if not thousands involve his not inciting hundreds of people to try to overthrow the government on January 6, 2021. He knew he lost the election that night and it was tearing him apart so a couple of his closest advisors said it was probably a fraud. He latched on to the idea since he couldn’t have lost. His ego could not accept millions more people voted against him than he had conned into voting for him.

            Based on public appearance, tweets, diatribes on social media and in social meetings a group of psychologists in both political parties have evaluated Trump and found him to have
several mental problems. The two most obvious are his habitual lying and his narcissistic behavior. His inability to accept any criticism and lashing out at anyone who dares to do so indicates mental instability.

            Demanding absolute loyalty and admiration as demonstrated by requiring his secretaries and advisors to state “How great I am” during a special news event at the White House shortly after taking office is an indication of his great narcissism. If his brittle personality confronted the situation where he couldn’t lie or had to confront the truth, or his admirers were deserting him, he would fall apart and lash back in any way he could.

            The psychologists did not believe his mental condition should allow him to ever be in a position of authority. Their opinions were made before he started his latest campaign.

            His 2025 playbook indicates if he is reelected he will never leave the Oval Office because he will have total control.   

Harris Wins the Popular Vote


I predict Kamala Harris will get six million more votes than Trump but I don’t know if the Electoral College allows her to win. The prediction is because the Democratic nominee for the last seven of eight Presidential Elections got the most votes. Bush II got three million more than Kerry. Now we all know getting more votes doesn’t mean winning as long as the ancient idea of 538 people deciding who wins.

Here’s who won popular vote and by how many millions: Biden by 4, Hillary Clinton by 3, Obama by 5, Obama by 10, Gore by 8, and Bill Clinton by 8 and by 5.

See, it is a dead bang certainty that Harris will get more votes but she needs to pick up most of the so called battleground states. Those are Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. Poll averages as of August 21 has Trump leading in Arizona by 0.2%, Nevada by 1.2%, Pennsylvania 0.2%, North Carolina 1.2% , and Georgia by 1.8%. Harris leads by 1.8% in Georgia and 2.0% in Michigan. All are well inside the statistical error. The pressure is really on in those states because the winner will probably win with a majority of less than 10,000 in each state.

Currently the reliable states give Harris 208 votes and Trump 219 with toss-ups having 111. The winner needs 270 no matter how many millions more popular votes Harris will get.

A real democracy means the majority of the people decide their leader but not here. We really are no different than many other countries with the majority party picking the country’s leader. We need to make elections fair and honest by getting rid of the Electoral College!


Loss of Any Trust

        I don’t know when I first knew the importance of the United States Supreme Court but I aced my high school Constitution Test in 1965. It was a revered part of our Democracy. Not everyone always agreed with their verdicts but they were the last interpreters of the Constitution.

            Nine people comprising the court have agreed to be unbiased in their opinions and leave previous decision alone. They were expected to remain completely above reproach. In return they will be well paid and have a lifetime job and great pension. They and their spouse get great above average health insurance; and are treated with extreme deference.

            Most decisions were close to unanimous in spite of what the President that appointed them hoped. In order to be a Supreme Court Judge, the President has one or more people check out a group of people. They would get lots of input from many people, especially politicians. The Committee would then forward their top picks to the President who would then interview each one. From that list the President would select one. Then the person goes through the discussions with the Senators on the judicial committee. If they approve, the appointment is sent to the full Senate for approval. If the majority of Senators agree, then the candidate is sworn into the revered office.

            I should say once revered office since today their standing is single digit in some polls. Why? First is their testimony before the committee is under oath and the three appointed by former President Donald Trump and Supreme Court Judge Clarence Thomas appointed by former President George W. Bush lies repeatedly. Thomas has been treated to millions in gifts. Samuel A. Alito Jr supports the people who tried to overthrow the government on January 6.

            On yes, one very interesting point is the Court sets the ethics rules for all the Federal Court Judges. However the Supreme Court has no ethics rules for themselves. Their conscious is supposed to be their ethics boundary. At least three on this court have shown their ethics is far outside of the rules they have set forth for lower court judges; hence there is little respect for them or their opinions.

Flip Phone

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                I have a flip phone with Consumer Cellular. I have asked them to eliminate texting and voice mail on it because I think people should want to converse with me directly and not send a few words hoping I will respond sometime. Unfortunately this phone has a ton of features which just make using it more irritating than the previous ones.

I just saw a commercial where a woman was watching her dog in her home while she was at the office. I assume that one camera saw the dog out of all the other cameras in the house. She made a voice comment to the dog. Some of the TV shows have shown people in their homes being watched by bad people on cameras they put in or cameras the occupants installed. These cameras operate on Bluetooth which means people can buy a device on the internet that will allow them to hack into that Bluetooth system. That reminds me of driving through a subdivision with a garage door opener raising garage doors. The Wi-Fi can reach the street in front of your home so people can get into your computer and phones that are tied into your system. Not my flip phone!

People keep their financial records on their computer and phones which are hack-able.  My stockbroker, banker, and insurance agent know they must not do anything without a personal phone call or face-to-face authorization from us.

If you did get to this point without wondering how you are getting these scary words from me. My wife has a computer, laptop, tablet and phone. We keep no financial information on it and instantly erase any sent by a company we do business with. Even then she keeps getting fraudulent e-mails which have penetrated her security programs.

Good luck, because technology only gets better at crime.