The Dilemma of Leakers

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Normally, I am against most leaks in government, but we have a President that is incapable of telling the truth. His press minions are sent out to lie, his tweets are usually lies, and his speeches are total lies. Without leaks we have no way of getting the truth. That’s our dilemma; truth or lies.

Our reason for invading Iraq was based on lies concocted by the executive branch. The few leaks were downplayed and anyone printing or airing them were called traitors and un-American. We are still in Afghanistan mainly because of pulling troops and materials out for Iraq and continuing to short the Afghanistan War. That is from several leaked military studies made public.

I don’t think we need to know everything but we must have a reason to mostly believe our leaders. We must have some leaks so we aren’t conned into another Iraq war. We must have confidence in economic reports that everyone uses. When a President orders the statisticians to add a percent to the GDP, it destroys any credibility of our economic reports.

When a President has done business with Russians and won’t release his taxes, we should be concerned. When he wants to cut his taxes from 35% to 15% we should see how it affects him.

Without leaks the close Russian ties would not have been known and investigated. Leaks have shown the European news media’s reports that the United States is no longer the leader of the free world is true. Putin’s latest comments about our President is the same other world leaders have been saying for some weeks.

Without leaks we would be following Alice down the rabbit hole into a Trump fantasy land!

A Metaphor

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Why does Air Force One have trouble getting off the ground? It only has a right wing. The Pilot says it doesn’t need the left wing to fly so it just taxis around without going anywhere.

The Pilot keep revving the engines, playing on social media, and yelling at the passengers and other pilots. The co-pilot sits in the lounge waiting for the pilot’s seat to become empty to he can try flying by himself.

Some of the passengers think the pilot has a good flight plan while two-thirds want a new crew. The flight crew is doing their own thing without any direction from the Pilot. They just manage to confuse and agitate the passengers even more.

The supervisor in the control tower has required the controllers to wear eye patches on their left eyes so they keep telling the Pilot to turn right. Unless the controllers allow for a left turn, the plane will just keep rolling around on the east side taxi strip.

No wonder all but one other Pilot keeps well clear as they fly off to save their own passengers. What a way to run an airline!

History Does Repeat

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When talking with people I find a sad lack of knowledge of History. Not just American History but World History. I doubt many Americans can name more than twenty presidents much less in order. English students learn all the kings, queens, their date of reign, and their wars. We brush through our history by hitting the high points in less than 80 hours of classroom teaching. Most American students never get any World History so they can’t understand the whys of events, religions, animosities or why we are involved.

Americans can’t understand why we are involved in many parts of the world that may not be publicly friendly to America. A lack of historical knowledge is often the reason for our personal and national misunderstandings and mistakes. President Trump says the world is more complicated than he thought. Much of the pseudo-facts on social media and websites depend on the reader being ignorant of history and geo-politics. To understand geo-politics one must know history.

Americans don’t understand national, ethnic, and religious animosities over something that happened hundreds of years ago. Six centuries ago the Ottoman Turks did a death march on hundreds of thousands of ethnic Serbs and the Serbs have not forgotten. Thus the ethnic Serb hatred embedded in the European Community negotiations with Turkey.

An even longer animosity/hatred is the schism in the Muslim religion. Both the Sunni and Shia sects have the same God as Jews, Protestants and Catholics. Both believe Mohammed was a prophet. The difference is who was the prophet’s successor. The fighting between the two sects started in 632 when Sunnis supported Caliph (ISIS leader is called Caliph.) and the Sunni supported Mohammad’s son-in-law. Iran is 95% Shia and Iraq is 65% Shia. The rest of the Arab world is Sunni and Sunni controlled. That is why the mid-east is such a mess today. No open wars today but proxy wars are almost continuous.

Another example is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the animosity certain groups in the United States have for it. Thanks to NATO, Europe has not had a war since 1945. It was a huge part of why the Soviet Union fell apart. The Eastern European countries, formerly Warsaw Pact and now NATO, are now safe from the invasions from Putin’s Russia. Non-NATO Georgia and Ukraine have lost parts of their nations to Russian invasions. Technically all three countries are geologically European but most people don’t use that distinction.

As long as we provide the leadership, umbrella and bases, war in Europe won’t occur within or without European NATO. Trying to pit member against another, as the President is doing, defeats the purpose of NATO.

A lack of historical knowledge means an administration is ignorant of how and why Iran considers the United States to be their mortal enemy. We caused the overthrow of their leaders and put the Shah in power. We helped him to brutalize his people. Any Iranian discussion with American is difficult because of our meddling. Our purpose was to use Iran as a sheriff over the other Persian Gulf countries with undependable kingdoms. Control of the Persian Gulf was mandatory to continue the flow of oil.

Another problem with the history we are taught in school it’s idealistic. We are taught the high points of our History and make early American’s and events heroic. We aren’t told the real stories of the founding fathers or events so today’s leaders seem to be less than those early heroes.

Two great examples are the Boston Tea Party and Thomas Jefferson’s slave concubine. The Tea Party raid was conducted by a bunch of drunks from a local tavern egged on by smugglers promising more ale, not a bunch of patriotic rebels.

Is it a good idea to make students believe people in the past were exemplary and events were extraordinary? How can kids respect leaders of today if they are compared with fictional characters they studied in school? When they are taught an idealistic fiction with a brief overview, it is no wonder people don’t know the how or why in today’s world.

Repeating History

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I consider myself far more knowledgeable about history than most people because of my age and I have studied it for over fifty years. I read a massive well-regarded biography of Hitler thirty years ago but it all really come together during a documentary about him I recently saw. We can always learn more.

He convinced Germans to support him by convincing them of the following: that Germany was better than other countries, that he will build their economy by making jobs for everyone, that the Jewish religion is responsible for many of the ills of the German people, and a stronger military will protect them. He often said he had done things no one else had ever done.

He utilized the newspapers and radio to spread their propaganda to the people and claimed any other news was treason. He broke international agreements and treaties. He told other countries he was going to make Germany great again. He made Jews and communists the enemy of the Germanic race. He locked up, forced deportation, and finally killed all his Gestapo and SS troops could find. He maintained control of the Nazi Party and the military by requiring them to swear loyalty to him.

The above caused over fifty million deaths. One of History’s most used sayings is “History repeats itself”. Scary thought!

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American in Retreat

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During the seven decades after the end of World War II, only two military super powers (U.S.A. and U.S.S.R.) and one economic super power (U.S.A.) existed. Previously both nations had controlled their military alliances and much of the world’s trade. The rest of the world was a loose confederation of quasi-non-aligned nations that played one power against another. Today, the world is basically divided up among the three military super powers.

Currently the world has only two economic super powers (U.S. and China) with China being the second temporarily. Temporarily, because we are retreating into isolation allowing China to move into the growing vacuum. We are turning our backs on our traditional partners and in many cases they are being offended by presidential statements. Many countries have already changed their trading alliances. Trade alliances allow for more than just trade. Three new Chinese trading partners are Cuba, Mexico, and Canada.

In the Pacific, we had worked out an alliance with Japan, Australia, Philippines, Canada, and several smaller countries to counter China’s trade pact. Now those countries are going to join the China pact after Trump backed out of TPP!

Economic power is translatable to military power because trade is usually the basis of all military alliances. Soon our isolationist policies will mean the world has only one economic super power and for the first time in nearly a century — it won’t be the United States.

Hours of Peace

The night of the Alexandra, Virginia ball field shooting, the four main leaders asked their senators and representatives to tone down their rhetoric about the other party and each other. Even Trump said much the same thing — his tone-down lasted until 5:00 a.m.

Two representatives and a senator violated that suggestion in attacking the liberals by saying they caused it. All three are well-known attack dogs for the G.O.P. so perhaps they should look in a mirror.

Another attack came forth from one who wasn’t sure how long he could hold back because the people who he represented wanted him to attack the liberals. It’s the not my fault excuse! Wouldn’t it be great to have a president and 535 moderates in Washington D.C.?

A Catastrophic War

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Many of the people I talk with are very concerned about how President Trump is communicating with North Korea. Some are extremely scared he will start or goad North Korea into a bloody war with U.S. and South Korea. They are concerned because we have never had a less competent, less prepared, less knowledgeable President at the start of a bloody war. He does have three capable military advisors to guide him and his inexperienced cabinet. People on both sides of the aisle express concern.

At least four previous Presidents should have done more than put a few sanctions on North Korea. They did next to nothing and left it for another President to confront them. On and off sanctions only increased their isolation and paranoia. Sanctions do not work when a country cannot be contained, doesn’t have a financial base, or a long land border with two supporting allies.

I have studied conflicts and the geo-politics from the Peloponnesian Wars to Desert Storm. Most wars have started because of economics, religion, territory, or the leader’s personality. The God-like personality cult North Korea’s 25 million people have for Kim Jong Un means his people will fight to the death for him.

Strategically and tactically any war with the North will mean the destruction of the South’s capitol area killing hundreds of thousands. Un will hit our bases in Japan and Okinawa with nuclear or non-nuclear weapons pulling Japan into it. Few wars limit the number of participants to the original two.

If President Trump’s administration can somehow keep China and Russia out of the fighting supporting North Korea, he may decide this is the “last best time” to affect regime change ending the threat to our mainland

The war will be extremely violent and last a few months at most. America’s and South Korea’s military will lose thousands, North Korea will lose most of its 1.2 million army, and many hundreds of thousands of Korean civilians will die.

Will Americans rally behind Trump if he goes to war? Will Congress support a war? Will the people support or condemn him? Is there a “last best time” to kill millions to maybe save tens of millions?

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Future Occupations in Doubt

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A FedEx ad has a little robot being allowed into a place by a human. How prophetic! In the future that guard will be a robot, too. Will and Grundy Counties have brought in lots of warehouses for real estate taxes and unskilled jobs. Within a few years most of those jobs will be robotic.

Rudimentary artificial intelligence (A.I.) can replace most of those jobs now at a cheaper price, at a more reliable rate, and for a 24 hour workday. Most of the rest will be replaced by higher A.I. that is being designed now.

The future of those warehouses is this: an autonomous truck brings the products to the warehouse where it is unpacked, shelved, repackaged per an order, put on an autonomous vehicle, and delivered to the customer. This level of A.I. and the machine to do it are here now or a few years away.

Every time I see an interview with an A.I. or robotic engineer, the number of jobs I foresee a teenager aspiring to do reduces. Robots are learning to be nurses and doctors. A.I. is teaching kids without any human teacher. Truck drivers and garbage collectors can already be replaced. Factories to build houses are now being automated so robots can build and ship pre-fabricated sections to the site. Robots are being designed to do the site work.

Is it possible for a sit down restaurant or a fast food to operate without any human? I can foresee the day when every human occupation could be done better by a robot.

What will happen to the ninety-nine percent needing work to survive? None of the “Star Trek Series” or “The Jetson’s” tells us. Only the “Terminator” gives me insight. We have opened a Pandora’s Box.

Putin’s Plan Is Working

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Why are the Russians being so aggressive with their Internet “Disinformation” here and in other countries? I think the reason is now obvious. Trump said many times over the years that the United State should not be in NATO. The Russian social media campaign against Clinton was about her great support of NATO and its mission against Russia. Putin wants NATO to be broken up so they won’t be mutually supporting each other.

NATO and the European community have imposed sanctions on Russia, Putin, and some of his friends for invading Ukraine. The Ukraine was the second invasion by Russia. The first was Georgia when Russia lopped off a third of the country and it only got lip service. Now he is threatening Estonia, so NATO sent a brigade to it and the other Baltic States. His plan is to take back the Warsaw Pact countries. Then with a weakened NATO perhaps he takes the rest of Europe by coercion and from within by internal dissention.

The short game is to keep us from defending Eastern Europe. A secondary purpose is to create so much dissention here that our attention will be inward. The playbook for this strategy was written in 1930s Germany. A few radical right people took control of the government and we know what happened. Like it or not we have to stand together against Russia within NATO.

Who Owns Us

I have no power to exert any pressure on my representative and senator since I can’t put enough in their campaign chests or give a friend or relative a job. My little voice is lost in the hurricane of big spending lobbyists and paid speeches. I don’t have millions to fund those secretive foundations which put out misleading to totally false information to influence me and my elected officials. I don’t have money to put an assistant onto the staff of those officials.

Washington D.C. is now being run by billionaires and near billionaires who seem to have one thought in their mind — enrich themselves. Our president and his family are worth millions more than they were 130 days ago. He won’t release his 2015 tax returns so he definitely won’t release his 2016 returns showing his wealth increase because he won the election.

The tax reform proposals being sponsored by Trump and Ryan does more than tilt the scale toward the super rich — it drops the rest of us off the equation. The top 1% owns 90% of the country. Treasury Secretary Mnunchin says the current system needs to be changed so the rich can spend more money on creating jobs. Tax reduction has never spawned the predicted economic boost. Right and left economists agree on that so why put more money in wealthy pockets while increasing the deficit and national debt? They want to do away with estate tax to help the middle class. The tax doesn’t start until $5,500,000. I know of no middle class person that has an estate that big.

No, the tax cuts are not for us, they are for the billionaires who want to be richer. When it hits the fan they will have moved elsewhere!!