Many of the people I talk with are very concerned about how President Trump is communicating with North Korea. Some are extremely scared he will start or goad North Korea into a bloody war with U.S. and South Korea. They are concerned because we have never had a less competent, less prepared, less knowledgeable President at the start of a bloody war. He does have three capable military advisors to guide him and his inexperienced cabinet. People on both sides of the aisle express concern.
At least four previous Presidents should have done more than put a few sanctions on North Korea. They did next to nothing and left it for another President to confront them. On and off sanctions only increased their isolation and paranoia. Sanctions do not work when a country cannot be contained, doesn’t have a financial base, or a long land border with two supporting allies.
I have studied conflicts and the geo-politics from the Peloponnesian Wars to Desert Storm. Most wars have started because of economics, religion, territory, or the leader’s personality. The God-like personality cult North Korea’s 25 million people have for Kim Jong Un means his people will fight to the death for him.
Strategically and tactically any war with the North will mean the destruction of the South’s capitol area killing hundreds of thousands. Un will hit our bases in Japan and Okinawa with nuclear or non-nuclear weapons pulling Japan into it. Few wars limit the number of participants to the original two.
If President Trump’s administration can somehow keep China and Russia out of the fighting supporting North Korea, he may decide this is the “last best time” to affect regime change ending the threat to our mainland
The war will be extremely violent and last a few months at most. America’s and South Korea’s military will lose thousands, North Korea will lose most of its 1.2 million army, and many hundreds of thousands of Korean civilians will die.
Will Americans rally behind Trump if he goes to war? Will Congress support a war? Will the people support or condemn him? Is there a “last best time” to kill millions to maybe save tens of millions?
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